Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.766276 4.016938 4.286947 4.601443 4.960338 5.360420 5.844890
2025-02-16 3.297064 3.619783 3.986986 4.442215 5.001100 5.678800 6.586446
2025-02-23 2.945196 3.304738 3.731477 4.287883 5.015046 5.967284 7.377038
2025-03-02 2.637031 3.006307 3.458533 4.071520 4.914021 6.092202 8.005765
2025-03-09 2.432303 2.813538 3.294197 3.970466 4.947951 6.412996 9.058297
2025-03-16 2.235098 2.612500 3.098473 3.801475 4.857884 6.532834 9.852139
2025-03-23 2.122033 2.510168 3.022354 3.788170 4.995414 7.054233 11.709222
2025-03-30 2.012695 2.403756 2.930155 3.739139 5.068103 7.489771 13.744613
2025-04-06 1.906056 2.293220 2.822460 3.653674 5.065789 7.788902 15.766845
2025-04-13 1.798791 2.175097 2.694978 3.523993 4.966605 7.868116 17.286425
2025-04-20 1.750190 2.134931 2.676422 3.563571 5.176639 8.693654 22.968832
2025-04-27 1.711247 2.105456 2.670589 3.622224 5.434234 9.759693 33.701806
2025-05-04 1.662141 2.063274 2.649481 3.665918 5.702778 11.121748 61.381892
2025-05-11 1.610606 2.014926 2.615921 3.685975 5.935891 12.625035 172.760703
2025-05-18 1.554932 1.957501 2.564203 3.668356 6.087558 14.063993 NaN
2025-05-25 1.487429 1.879074 2.473899 3.570009 6.029961 14.680712 NaN
2025-06-01 1.438433 1.826114 2.421383 3.538016 6.133554 16.226126 NaN
2025-06-08 1.379650 1.755605 2.335907 3.433920 6.030983 16.678552 NaN
2025-06-15 1.346997 1.723455 2.311713 3.447809 6.250677 19.446640 NaN
2025-06-22 1.310230 1.683174 2.271265 3.424636 6.364403 21.945230 NaN
2025-06-29 1.269826 1.635508 2.215557 3.364654 6.358019 23.645872 NaN
2025-07-06 1.224876 1.579104 2.142188 3.261795 6.201971 23.759195 NaN
2025-07-13 1.206287 1.563259 2.137490 3.303039 6.508284 30.126254 NaN